30 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1616
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1640
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H33-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.