30 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1427
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Leonenko
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Leonenko
ELO 1430
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Leonenko🌟Leonenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (61)
Fair odds · Leonenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.