30 Jul · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1616
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maksymiv
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1684
FormWWLLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H46-41
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-41)