30 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1457
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Holub
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1374
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Holub
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H37-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)