30 Jul · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1684
FormWWLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maksymiv
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1601
FormLWLWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H25-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)