31 Jul · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1466
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1539
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 65% (79)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 27% · 3.72· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H0-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)