31 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vasily Verbyany
ELO 1684
FormWLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Danyliuk
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1826
FormWLLLW
35%
65%
🌟Verbyany covers set handicap as underdog 62% (90)
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H123-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (123-51)