31 Jul · 11:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SH
🇺🇦Stepan Hryhorenko
ELO 1476
FormLLLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Troyan
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1579
FormLLLLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)