1 Aug · 10:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Opryshchenko
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
🌟Opryshchenko stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Opryshchenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)