1 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1401
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fastov
RB
🇺🇦Roman Boklah
ELO 1365
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Fastov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H3-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.