1 Aug · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1434
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Baranskyi
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Baranskyi
ELO 1441
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Baranskyi stays under total as favourite 63% (19)
Fair odds · Baranskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H17-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.