1 Aug · 07:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1427
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hovorunets
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1441
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kucheriavyi🌟Kucheriavyi covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Hovorunets
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.