1 Aug · 09:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AF
🇺🇦Andrii Fastov
ELO 1401
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Serdiuk
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Serdiuk
ELO 1534
FormLLLLW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fastov🌟Fastov goes over total as underdog 77% (30)
Fair odds · Serdiuk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)