1 Aug · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1553
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kozachuk
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 68% (71)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H26-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-19)