1 Aug · 08:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Mykhailo Vivatenko
ELO 1505
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vivatenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1468
FormWWWLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maksymkiv🌟Vivatenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (40)
Fair odds · Vivatenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.