1 Aug · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1553
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kozachuk
RH
🇺🇦Ruslan Haiseniuk
ELO 1543
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (72)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H10-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.