1 Aug · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleg Sapuzhak
ELO 1400
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Maksymkiv
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1468
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)