1 Aug · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Merkl
SK
🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky
ELO 1515
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)