1 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SH
🇺🇦Serhii Hovorunets
ELO 1441
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Khalenko
MK
🇺🇦Mykhailo Khalenko
ELO 1480
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Khalenko stays under total as favourite 74% (31)
Fair odds · Khalenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.