1 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1434
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
VK
🇺🇦Vadym Kucheriavyi
ELO 1427
FormWLLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kucheriavyi🌟Kucheriavyi covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.