1 Aug · 08:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1582
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nazarov
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1584
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Nazarov🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as underdog 68% (82)
Fair odds · Nazarov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.