1 Aug · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇺🇦Mikhail Taranko
ELO 1479
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kalensky
SK
🇺🇦Stepan Kalensky
ELO 1515
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kalensky stays under total as favourite 68% (38)
Fair odds · Kalensky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.