1 Aug · 09:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RM
🇺🇦Roman Merkl
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Merkl
JB
🇺🇦Jan Botka
ELO 1481
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Botka🌟Botka covers set handicap as underdog 69% (26)
Fair odds · Merkl
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)