1 Aug · 08:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SR
🇺🇦Serhii Rak
ELO 1643
FormWWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Rak
YK
🇺🇦Yaroslav Kravets
ELO 1498
FormLLWLL
65%
35%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kravets🌟Kravets covers set handicap as underdog 68% (71)
Fair odds · Rak
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+145
H2H29-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-9)