1 Aug · 08:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Roman Pomin
ELO 1545
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pomin
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Derevianko
ELO 1533
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Derevianko🌟Pomin stays under total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Pomin
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.