1 Aug · 09:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nazarov
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1584
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Nazarov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (42)
Fair odds · Nazarov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.