1 Aug · 07:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
YO
🇺🇦Yehor Opryshchenko
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Opryshchenko
MM
🇺🇦Maksym Mrykh
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
🌟Opryshchenko stays under total as favourite 63% (27)
Fair odds · Opryshchenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.