1 Aug · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DT
🇺🇦Dmytro Tsys
ELO 1568
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tsys
MD
🇺🇦Maksym Denysenko
ELO 1518
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Tsys
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)