2 Aug · 17:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VL
🇺🇦Vladimir Lopata
ELO 1474
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Brichacek
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1536
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)