2 Aug · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Dekhtiarenko
ELO 1396
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ponomarenko
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1409
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.