2 Aug · 12:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1617
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Heinzl
OK
🇺🇦Ondrej Kaderabek
ELO 1534
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H8-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-3)