3 Aug · 02:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1589
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Loboda
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1554
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 66% (125)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H42-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.