2 Aug · 21:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RR
🇺🇦Roman Reznychenko
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Melnik
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1603
FormLLWWL
31%
69%
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+188
H2H103-56
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+188)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (103-56)