2 Aug · 17:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1603
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Masko
YM
🇺🇦Yevhen Masko
ELO 1612
FormWLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Masko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H71-87
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.