2 Aug · 12:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1545
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kovalchuk
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebnyi
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (102)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~66 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.