2 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1440
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Seeman
FH
🇺🇦Filip Husek
ELO 1431
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Husek
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.