2 Aug · 20:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VM
🇺🇦Valeriy Melnik
ELO 1603
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Melnik
RC
🇺🇦Roman Cherevko
ELO 1595
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Melnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H88-74
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.