2 Aug · 23:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1589
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Loboda
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1582
FormLWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (86)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.