2 Aug · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Myhailo Styranets
ELO 1516
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Savenkov
OS
🇺🇦Oleh Savenkov
ELO 1564
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Savenkov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H13-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-0)