2 Aug · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1440
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mukhin
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Varchenko
ELO 1423
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Mukhin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.