2 Aug · 21:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Ponomarenko
ELO 1409
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1492
FormWWLWW
41%
59%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 63% (105)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)