2 Aug · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lushchyk
ELO 1686
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fedoryshyn
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fedoryshyn
ELO 1753
FormLLWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Fedoryshyn
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H88-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-30)