2 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1482
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Shchegelskyi
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1552
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Shchegelskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (77)
Fair odds · Shchegelskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H48-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-27)