2 Aug · 11:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇺🇦Andrii Kotyk
ELO 1520
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kotyk
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1507
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Napirko
Fair odds · Kotyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H5-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.