2 Aug · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IP
🇺🇦Ivan Pytsko
ELO 1535
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pytsko
IF
🇺🇦Ivan Fashchevskyi
ELO 1518
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fashchevskyi🌟Pytsko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Pytsko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.