2 Aug · 15:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DB
🇺🇦David Brichacek
ELO 1536
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Brichacek
JJ
🇺🇦Jachym Juppa
ELO 1527
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Juppa
Fair odds · Brichacek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H11-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.