2 Aug · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇺🇦Jan Mares
ELO 1359
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Coubal
VC
🇺🇦Vaclav Coubal
ELO 1382
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Coubal stays under total as favourite 74% (23)
Fair odds · Coubal
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~71 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.