2 Aug · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OP
🇺🇦Oleh Plyska
ELO 1488
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Plyska
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1440
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Seeman🌟Seeman covers set handicap as underdog 68% (38)
Fair odds · Plyska
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)