2 Aug · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇺🇦Andrii Droshchynskyi
ELO 1550
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Droshchynskyi
MT
🇺🇦Maksym Tiutiunnyk
ELO 1509
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Droshchynskyi stays under total as favourite 65% (62)
Fair odds · Droshchynskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.