2 Aug · 15:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1502
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Salivonchyk
VS
🇺🇦Vasil Salivonchyk
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Maslovskyi🌟Salivonchyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Salivonchyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H37-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.